Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 2.141838 2.443070 2.773966 3.164821 3.614423 4.116028 4.718962
2025-10-19 1.741665 2.144005 2.622621 3.235587 4.002185 4.932390 6.151500
2025-10-26 1.460713 1.916611 2.496481 3.291825 4.360197 5.753863 7.723088
2025-11-02 1.205766 1.670132 2.295423 3.205048 4.504773 6.310437 9.035962
2025-11-09 0.991417 1.438727 2.071426 3.040098 4.500943 6.645988 10.078822
2025-11-16 0.863233 1.306582 1.962267 3.014014 4.680560 7.255738 11.606738
2025-11-23 0.753001 1.183479 1.846094 2.954556 4.791446 7.764793 13.044568
2025-11-30 0.706174 1.150652 1.861585 3.100065 5.243493 8.873571 15.641123
2025-12-07 0.653498 1.100430 1.840811 3.179489 5.590978 9.849791 18.157874
2025-12-14 0.591364 1.025915 1.769071 3.159120 5.756586 10.523873 20.221693
2025-12-21 0.523409 0.932811 1.653438 3.043560 5.729462 10.835977 21.632105
2025-12-28 0.501327 0.918696 1.675633 3.183394 6.200050 12.151257 25.254288
2026-01-04 0.480963 0.906582 1.702228 3.339701 6.734784 13.691183 29.661467
2026-01-11 0.451557 0.873878 1.686081 3.409723 7.105683 14.955165 33.707144
2026-01-18 0.423631 0.840738 1.664999 3.466570 7.456899 16.230837 38.017625
2026-01-25 0.383546 0.778548 1.578384 3.373595 7.467963 16.758303 40.653699
2026-02-01 0.340547 0.705557 1.461217 3.198815 7.269274 16.775610 42.031743
2026-02-08 0.315289 0.667235 1.412804 3.170950 7.406289 17.601101 45.625157
2026-02-15 0.289755 0.625558 1.352508 3.108041 7.450548 18.207709 48.754352
2026-02-22 0.283189 0.624963 1.382724 3.261477 8.047261 20.287200 56.329329
2026-03-01 0.271825 0.612265 1.384055 3.345235 8.480352 22.013952 63.254584
2026-03-08 0.254298 0.583483 1.344966 3.323715 8.636445 23.027804 68.283466
2026-03-15 0.232079 0.541399 1.270000 3.201768 8.506988 23.239048 70.906823